| 新电改政策对电力市场售电侧竞争格局的影响研究 |
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| 引用本文：唐开宇1,刘人境2,刘俊华1,李伊2,于文琪2.新电改政策对电力市场售电侧竞争格局的影响研究[J].电网与清洁能源,2018,34(2):131~141 |
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| 中文摘要:基于多Agent仿真建模方法，在理清售电市场呈现的市场环境特点后，以计划行为理论（TPB）为理论基础，探究售电市场参与主体即用户个体、运营商以及政府三者的行为规则，在虚拟世界中构建符合新电改政策发展规律的售电市场，探索新电改政策售电侧放开，社会资本涌入导致售电市场竞争格局的变化。研究结果表明，售电侧放开后，政府相关支持政策的刺激将会促进当地售电市场竞争活力，保证售电市场的合理分配，维护用电个体与运营商双方利益关系，在一定程度上实现双赢。因此，基于以上结论，建议政府部门引导建立一个规范合理的市场竞争环境，结合当地地域特色，制订科学合理且具有操作价值的激励措施。以期通过相关措施进一步提高社会相关资源的利用率，造福售电市场的消费者，并依托市场消费者的活跃使得市场规模更快地发展和壮大，形成售电市场良性的价值循环。 |
| 中文关键词:新电改政策 售电市场 基于Agent建模 NetLogo仿真 |
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| Impacts of New Electricity Reform Policy on Electricity Sale Market Competition |
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| Abstract:Based on the multi Agent simulation modeling method， with clarification of the environment features presented in the electricity sale market， and in light of the theory of planned behavior （TPB）， this paper explores the behavior rules of the three participants of the market， namely， the individual user， the operator and the government. Through establishing the simulated electricity sale market which conforms to the law of the development of new electricity reform policies in the virtual world， the paper studies changes in the market competition resulted from the opening the sale side to the market under the new policy and influx of the outside capital into the market. The study results show that with opening of the electricity sale side to the market， stimulation by the government’s related policies can promote the competitive vitality of the local electricity market， and ensure the rational distribution of the electricity market and maintain interests of both the power users and the operator， and achieve a win-win situation. On the basis of the above conclusions， it is suggested that the government departments should offer guidance for the establishment of a standardized and reasonable market competition environment， and formulate scientific and reasonable and operational value incentive measures according to the local regional characteristics. It is expected that implementation of these measures helps to further improve the utilization of related social resources and bring about benefits for the consumers of the electricity sale market， and make the market scale to grow bigger and faster with vitality of the market consumers， and form a virtuous value cycle of the electricity market. |
| keywords:new electricity reform policy electricity sale market Agent-based modeling NetLogo simulation |
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